mardi 5 avril 2011

Forex 102: Factors Affecting the Global Currency Market

Many people find the 'predictions game' the most enjoyable aspect of Forex trading. In order
to develop solid mid-range and long-range trading strategies, you have to acquire a fairly
sophisticated knowledge of economics.
So, you ask, which factors most influence the global currency market?
There are 5 key areas you need to pay attention to in order to become a top-notch Forex
investor:
Interest Rates
Economic Growth
Mergers and Acquisitions
Trade and Capital Flow
We'll take a look at each area now, and how you can take advantage of these factors.
Geo-Politics
Interest Rates
The Forex market allows you to profit from differences between the interest rates of different
countries. Interest rates on a currency from a given country are set by that country's central
bank.
In general, you want to purchase low interest rate currencies first, and use these to finance
your purchase of high interest currencies or other instruments. This tactic is known as
generating
A second tactic involves generating income from
observed that a rise in a country's interest rate usually triggers a corresponding rise in
currency value.
The main thing to understand about
shift in interest rates presents you with an opportunity to play interest rate differentials
against each other.
The corresponding rise and fall in currency values means that interest rates make for
powerful and generally very reliable Forex indicators.
interest income.capital appreciation. It has beeninterest income and capital appreciation is that any
Economic Growth
Positive economic growth is strongly tied to a rise in currency value. Why?
When an economy is in a growth period, inflation tends to follow. What do the central banks
do when the threat of inflation is looming ahead? Typically, they raise interest rates in order
to slow down the economic boom just a bit.
Now, when interest rates go up, investors - especially foreign investors - start putting more
money into the economy. More investors mean more demand for the currency. So, the value
of the currency goes up.
Likewise, a slow in growth or even a significant downturn will cause the reverse of this chain
reaction to take place. Central banks tend to cut interest rates to give sluggish economies a
shot in the arm.
However, lower interest rates mean lower returns for investors. They respond by pulling out
of the market. This results in less demand for the currency, followed by a drop in currency
value.

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